Brent crude front month

↑ = risk

USD/bbl · Yahoo Finance (BZ=F)

One of the 13 inputs to the composite score. This page shows the latest reading against its peacetime baseline, the recent history, and how much stress this indicator currently adds.

Brent crude front month at 110.6 USD/bbl, 42% above the 78.0 normal.

Latest

110.6USD/bbl

2026-10-29 00:03 UTC

Normal

~78.0USD/bbl

registry baseline

7D trend

▼ 2%

flat · 7d

Observed min / max

71.6 – 116.7USD/bbl

trailing 180 days

Model stress

48/ 100

A move of one model span (72.0 USD/bbl) above the baseline corresponds to 66.7 stress. Stress rises toward 100 as conditions worsen; 100 is never reached.

History

trailing 180 days

About this indicator

Brent front-month price. A geopolitical risk premium building into prices reflects trader expectations of supply disruption. Span widened Sep 2026 ($120 → $150 cap) so a full-scale-war price regime still has headroom.

Source: Yahoo Finance (BZ=F).

Model weight: 11% of the composite score.