Hormuz tanker transits
↓ = risktransits/day · IMF PortWatch (satellite AIS)
6.00 transits/day vs a normal ~100.0 — currently at 6% of normal.
Latest
6.00transits/day
2026-09-06 00:00 UTC
Normal
~100.0transits/day
registry baseline
7D trend
0%
flat · 7d
Observed min / max
0.00 – 51.0transits/day
trailing 180 days
Model stress
100/ 100
Full stress (100) at ≈ 50.0 transits/day or lower — baseline minus the model span; 0 is the floor for counts.
History
trailing 180 daysAbout this indicator
Daily commercial vessel transits through the Strait of Hormuz (all vessel types, PortWatch n_total). A sustained drop means shipping is being constrained — the single most direct escalation signal. Baseline reflects the observed pre-war normal (~95-100/day, Feb 2026).
Source: IMF PortWatch (satellite AIS).
Model weight: 22% of the composite score.