Gulf war-risk insurance premium
↑ = risk% hull value · Lloyd's JWC listed areas + GDELT coverage tempo (modelled estimate)
One of the 13 inputs to the composite score. This page shows the latest reading against its peacetime baseline, the recent history, and how much stress this indicator currently adds.
Gulf war-risk insurance premium at 5.20 % hull value, 1980% above the 0.25 normal.
Latest
5.20% hull value
2026-10-28 04:45 UTC
Normal
~0.25% hull value
registry baseline
7D trend
▼ 48%
improving · 7d
Observed min / max
1.30 – 10.0% hull value
trailing 180 days
Model stress
50/ 100
A move of one model span (9.75 % hull value) above the baseline corresponds to 66.7 stress. Stress rises toward 100 as conditions worsen; 100 is never reached.
History
trailing 180 daysAbout this indicator
Additional war-risk premium charged for transiting the Gulf, as % of hull value. No public price series exists (quotes are bilateral), so the level is estimated from the Lloyd's Joint War Committee listed-areas status and war-risk coverage tempo, calibrated to press-reported quotes. Underwriters price danger before headlines do. Recalibrated Aug 2026 to the post-escalation market (quotes of 3–10%).
Source: Lloyd's JWC listed areas + GDELT coverage tempo (modelled estimate).
Model weight: 8% of the composite score.